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Deal or No Deal

I feel sorry for that guy who just finished playing deal or no deal. He got a whooping total of $150 that was in his suitcase. How grand. And his wife didn't seem happy at all.


Actually, the entire show is all a scam. Well, not a SCAM scam, but rather the percentages shown on screen are not actually real. If I were ever on the show, I would never ever go all the way and open my suitcase. Why? Here's the logic.


Imagine that you have played through the entire game and are left with the choice between your suitcase or the banker's offer. That would make it a 50% chance that your suitcase is the one that would make you and instant half-millionaire right? WRONG!


They are just playing with your eyes and logical reasoning. When you first choose your suitcase, it was 1 out of 25, therefore we derive at a 4% chance that your suitcase is the one that contains the big one. Even after all the rest of the suitcases are removed, what makes you think that that 4% chance will change? You didn't add 4% to your chance percentage when you remove each suitcase, all you did was just remove 4% chance that your case is NOT the one with the big dough.


Still not convienced? Let me put it into perspective for you. Let's change the game rules so that you get to choose 1 out of 9,999 suitcases, where only 1 of them contains the $500,000. Once choosen, I remove the rest of the suitcases, leaving 1 last suitcase, telling you that the $500,000 is in either one of those 2 suitcases. Would you still think that your suitcase is the one with the biggy?


So if you are ever luckily enough to even get to be on the show, make sure to heed my advice and never ever open your own suitcase! Take the offer high enough to make you a happy man, say thank you to the banker and get the hell out of there!


Anyhow written on Jan 10, 2008 at 9:29 PM

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